Prime Minister, you say must cut our emissions to cut the temperature we’ll otherwise get. As you said in 2010: “The temperatures are largely driven by pollution created by carbon emissions.” So by how much will the Government’s planned 5 per cent cut to our emissions cut the temperature expected by 2100? How much less will the seas rise by 2100 as a consequence? If the IPCC’s Roger Jones is right, and the difference Australia will make is just 0.0038 degrees by 2100, is that tiny gain really worth the pain?

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To my mind, putting a price on carbon is a good idea - even if climate change risks were inaccurate (that is 95% of science is fatally flawed). Finite energy sources will continue to become more expensive as they become scarcer and more expensive to mine. We inevitably have to switch to renewable energy sources. Whilst we are well behind the curve on supporting a low-carbon economy, it has the potential to create thousands of jobs and will encourage better town planning promote thriving cities (Amsterdam, Copenhagen, Stockholm...).
freo vegan · 10 months ago
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Hi Con, I'd appreciate your comments on this piece by Roger Jones. http://theconversation.edu.au/spinning-uncertainty-the-ipcc-extreme-weather-report-and-the-media-4402. I thought that the point of the CPM was to help to limit the growth in global temperature to 2 degrees above pre-industrial levels.
Anthony Peyton · 10 months ago
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The Jurassic and Triassic periods both had a Carbon Dioxide level around 2,000 ppm with one of the largest known plants and animals levels ever seen, both in size and quantity. Oddly enough, the temperature was around the same levels as today. These figures from the Jurassic and Triassic had fallen from a previous high of over 7,000 ppm prior to and during the Devonian and Carboniferous periods. Therefore would history not indicate that our current level of Carbon Dioxide is actually dangerously low? Oddly enough, plants and animals not only survived but prospered from the Devonian and Carboniferous through to the Jurassic and Triassic periods. Would not the prudent path then be to promote animal and plant growth via increasing Carbon Dioxide levels, not reducing them? Prime Minister, a green house or hot house has an average Carbon Dioxide level of around 1,200 ppm, yet they have no ill effects on people or problems with rampant heat, nor do they generate dangerous or unstable micro-climate problems. They are the best method to grow plants however. Therefore I can only assume people that believe in Global Warming seem to know so much that simply isn't so.
John Harris · 10 months ago
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True, but the CO2 levels, and climate changed over hundreds of thousands of years. The coming changes are putting millions of years if stored carbon back into the atmosphere in a few decades. How do you feel about mass extinctions, ocean acidification and mass dislocation of people escaping hot and arid conditions. If you can slow the change down so it happens over a few thousand years please let us know how. Otherwise your comment is pointless.
David Frost · 10 months ago
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The whole warming theory rests on a specific amount of CO2 causing large upward temperature increases because of the positiive feedback theory, not how fast or slow CO2 changes. Ask yourself why it did not do that at 2000ppm? And ocean acidification - the density of CO2 in the oceans is 50 -80 times that in the atmosphere, ignoring the sequestation that goes on in the ocean even if CO2 reached Jurassic levels the relative change would hardly affect ocean CO2 levels at all.
Frank Stott · 10 months ago
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Sorry, but this is an anal theoretical question that no one, not even Stephen Hawking let alone the PM, can provide a credible response nor forecast. Those voting for such questions are just stirring the proverbial pot and mucking around. It would have been better positioned if the question was phrased more broadly and qualitatively, rather than seeking quantifications that are likely to be dubious. Scientists' forecasting track records (as with economists et al) have not exactly stood up when reality strikes.
LS Su · 10 months ago
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Thats the point!
Scott Ferguson · 10 months ago
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The point is the problem comes from billions of tiny actions. Each if them on there own makes negligible difference. Proponents of every single one of them can say that there is not enough gain to offset the pain, however if no one stands up and makes a change the pain will be considerable. ( well, has been already, and is worsening as we watch)
David Frost · 10 months ago
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Good question that will no doubt be left unanswered ,watch the lawyer in her twist her way out of it .like Bill Kelty said "the truth will normally do "
wesley clonan · 10 months ago
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Prime Minister. These questions are either by Abbot stooges or illiterate Australians. The science is clear the prime Minister of Australia does not need to defend the obvious.
Jim Boswell · 10 months ago
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Jim, I am neither an Abbott stooge or illiterate. I am educated in the sciences and can see for myself the dishonesty of the warmist faith. The obvious fact is that water vapour makes up 95% of the greenhouse effect and CO2 is responsible for 80% of the last 5%. Man produces only 3% of the worlds production of CO2. Even if we reduce our output by 10% the net effect on the earths temperature will be negligible and not worth the economic effort to acheive.
Robbie Gore · 10 months ago
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Jim, so if I follow your line of thinking anyone that doesn't agree with you is an Abbot(t) stooge or illiterate. In addition you must think that if anyone that provides alternative facts to yours is wrong. Is that what democracy and free speech is all about or should I stop expressing my opinion? Have you ever thought that maybe you may have the incorrect facts drummed into you? That could possibly not happen can it???
CON COTRONIS · 10 months ago
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Robbie, the other 97% of natural CO2 emissions are accounted for naturally, as can be seen if you look at the stable atmospheric CO2 levels from before the industrial revolution. The other 3% is largely compounding and the slight increase in temperature caused evaporates more water; and by using your ratio of 4:95 a little bit of CO2 will cause a lot of H2O vapour to form and will ultimately have a significant effect.
Daniel King · 10 months ago
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Daniel, if a positive feedback mechanism existed between CO2 and H2O, the planet would have burned to a cinder long ago. Past CO2 increases would have increased water vapour, warming the oceans and releasing more CO2, in turn raising water vapour levels and warming the planet more and so on and so on. At any rate, you seem to be doing what sceptics are always accused of doing: ignoring the science. Roger Jones has clearly stated what impact the tax will have and you appear to be saying he's wrong and there will actually be a significant effect.
Chris Hayes · 10 months ago
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'The obvious fact is that water vapour makes up 95% of the greenhouse effect' You claim to be 'educated in the sciences' yet you gave the wrong statistics. It has been suggested that water vapour is ~36-70%. Also the total temperature increase from th greenhouse effect is around 30 degrees so water vapour accounts for `12-21 degrees celsius. Much of the remainder of the greenhouse effect are carbon based or are from compounds such as sulfur hexafluoride (I hope you don't think that occurs naturally). Now, even if we end up as the only country pricing carbon and the effects end up negligible, surely a move to sustainable energy (maybe even being able to evade a peak oil crisis) makes it worthwhile.
Alex Harper · 10 months ago
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'In addition you must think that if anyone that provides alternative facts to yours is wrong. Is that what democracy and free speech is all about or should I stop expressing my opinion?' Nobody is giving other facts though. Global warming and the greenhouse effect don't stop being true because free speech lets people say that they aren't.
Alex Harper · 10 months ago
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I agree with Alex. The climate sceptics have to rely on faith and poor quality evidence to back up their claims. 97% of climate scientists are in agreement that a) the planet is warming (and is currently the warmest it has ever been), b) that the warming is due to increases in CO2 levels, and that c) the increases in CO2 levels are due to human activity. To deny this means listening to the 3% of scientists who disagree with the consensus - including geologists such as Ian Plimer. So quoting from these scientists essentially becomes an act of faith.
Sam Long · 10 months ago
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In fact the 97% you mention is a hoax. The survey consisted of two questions asked of 77 people. Science is about the data, and not consensus. However, if it were, the skeptical scientists actually outnumber the gullible fools by a ratio of 20 to one. A paper published this week indicates that we have been in a COOLING trend for the last two thousand years. There is absolutely no evidence to link CO2 concentrations to temperature WHATSOEVER.
Goob Stuart · 10 months ago
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Goob: Your claim about that survey is incorrect. 3146 people responded to the survey, and the 77 people you mention (97% of which responded Yes to: 'Do you think human activity is a significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperatures?') were those who identified as being primarily involved in climate research and >50% of their publications were in this area. To use the conclusion of the author of the article: 'In general, as the level of active research and specialization in climate science increases, so does agreement with the two primary questions'. Overall, 82% of the 3128 respondents (which included non-climate-researchers and non-active researchers) answered 'yes' to the above question. See the original article at: http://tigger.uic.edu/%7Epdoran/012009_Doran_final.pdf
Chris Smith · 10 months ago
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Maybe Sam and Alex should read this article http://blogs.news.com.au/dailytelegraph/timblair/index.php/dailytelegraph/comments/doctor_matt_prescribes_a_ban/. As the article suggests "find me one scientist who believes that climate change is going to destroy the planet.".
CON COTRONIS · 10 months ago
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The solution is simple. Expose the scam and get re-elected.
R Bayrunner · 10 months ago
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Won't happen I am afraid.
CON COTRONIS · 10 months ago
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It is amazing that an educated person who is capable of becoming PM knows so little about science. Carbon is a solid not a gas, so it isn't emitted. Carbon dioxide is a gas and it is a greenhouse gas that keeps our planet warm enough to sustain human and other animal life on Earth. Carbon dioxide is NOT a pollutant. It is plant food and is one of the two most important gases for sustaining life on this planet. With carbon dioxide, Earth would be a dead planet.
Rick Johnson · 10 months ago
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You seem to be implying that the aim of the carbon tax is to eliminate CO2 from the atmosphere. This is incorrect. The aim of the carbon tax is to reduce the amount of CO2 we contribute to the atmosphere, because increases of CO2 lead to increases of temperature. With TOO MUCH CO2, Earth would be a dead planet.
Steve Bowen · 10 months ago
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No, with more CO2 plants flourish and therefore absorb more CO2.
Ryan Birkett · 10 months ago
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In theory, yes, but in reality most plants are quite vulnerable to the associated changing climatic conditions and would probably die before they have the opportunity to "flourish"
Daniel King · 10 months ago
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"In theory, yes, but in reality, here's my theory..."
Chris Hayes · 10 months ago
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Stock response to 'CO2 is plant food': http://www.skepticalscience.com/co2-plant-food-advanced.htm
Chris Smith · 10 months ago
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There is no way our PM will answer this, because she either has to lie or expose her deception.
Rob Withall · 10 months ago
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You can only keep on trying.
CON COTRONIS · 10 months ago
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Yep it is. If you look at the "Clean Energy Act 2011" http://www.comlaw.gov.au/Details/C2011A00131 it states at Part 1, Section 3 (c) (i): "The objects of this Act are as follows..... take action directed towards meeting Australia’s long‑term target of reducing Australia’s net greenhouse gas emissions to 80% below 2000 levels by 2050". Scary isn't it?
CON COTRONIS · 10 months ago